Tesla CEO Elon Musk says it doesn’t make financial sense to buy a car that isn’t electric and won’t be able to receive an upgrade that will make it self-driving, but there are multiple factors working against that claim.
“I think it’s basically financially insane to buy anything except an electric car that is upgradeable to autonomy,” Musk said Tuesday during Tesla’s annual shareholder meeting, echoing an assertion he made at an investor event in April.
Musk’s argument rests in part on his prediction that Tesla vehicles will be able to drive without human intervention next year and generate revenue through an autonomous ride-hailing service run by the electric-car maker, pending regulatory approval. But autonomous-vehicle experts have cast doubt on that prediction, saying it is unlikely that Tesla or any other company will have autonomous-driving technology that is suitable for consumer vehicles in the near future.
Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
If Tesla does not have fully autonomous driving technology ready by next year, it wouldn’t be the company’s first time missing a target set by Musk. In 2015, he said Tesla’s autonomous-driving technology would be ready in about two years. The company has also passed multiple deadlines to send a self-driving vehicle on a road trip across the US.
There are some downsides to electric vehicles
It’s also not clear that electric vehicles are, at the moment, the best option for every car customer. To be sure, EVs are better for the environment than gas-powered ones, have some performance benefits in areas like acceleration, and can produce long-term savings on fuel and maintenance. And Tesla owners have expressed high levels of satisfaction in surveys, though not without reports of reliability issues. Still, there are drawbacks that could steer consumers away from electric vehicles.
While automakers plan to produce an increasing number and variety of electric vehicles in the coming years, the options available now are somewhat limited. Consumers looking for an affordable electric SUV, for example, will have to pay a premium above the average prices for gas-powered alternatives. And the most affordable electric SUV available in the US, the Hyundai Kona Electric (which starts at $36,450), cannot be purchased in most states.
“I don’t know how waiting for a technology to be perfected and more affordable is insane,” said Brian Moody, the executive editor at Autotrader.
While Musk’s assertions about buying electric vehicles with the potential for autonomous capabilities may turn out to be true in 15 to 20 years, it isn’t true at the moment, Moody said.
Some consumers may also have concerns about charging infrastructure. Electric-vehicle owners with a garage can charge their car at home, which in many cases provides enough range for most driving activity, but long trips will most likely require a charge away from home. While the number of charging stations is growing, there are about 21,000 in the US now, compared with more than 120,000 gas stations.
“There’s places across America that really don’t have any sort of significant EV charging networks,” said Jeremy Acevedo, the manager of industry analysis at Edmunds.
The relative lack of options in some segments and limited charging infrastructure may explain why electric vehicles represent about 1% of the US auto market.
“The fact that electric vehicles only account for 1% of the market in 2019 I think is a reflection of the fact that this isn’t always the right vehicle for everybody,” Acevedo said.
Have you worked for Tesla? Do you have a story to share? Contact this reporter at email@example.com.